A firing offense

Perhaps Brad Childress will sign an excellent quarterback and the Vikings will take it up another level to be able to compete with the NFL elite. But it appears very, very unlikely based on this unhappy news of stability in the Vikings staff:

Minnesota Vikings coach Brad Childress plans to retain his entire staff. Special-teams coach Ferraro to stay on…. Ferraro came under perhaps the most scrutiny during the 2008 season. The Vikings’ special teams allowed seven touchdowns, an NFL record in the modern era.

It wasn’t just the touchdowns allowed. It was the fact that a team set up to play field position football was giving away every hard earned net yard on the majority of exchanges. It would be unbelievable if we hadn’t seen so many of these common sense-defying decisions already during the Childress Reign of Confusion.

Whale watching

SA sent this along under the subject “words fail me”. That pretty much sums it up. “Doomed” doesn’t even begin to describe this nation of bankrupt and overweight idiots:

I’ll start off by saying how I noticed a lot of men here complain about not getting messages. Therefore, I decided to take it upon myself to message men in my area who I found interesting. This one in particular was creative, intelligent and handsome…or so his profile led me to believe. We messaged each other on and off through here and IM for about 3 weeks before we met. It’s amazing how much of a connection you can make with someone just by talking to them online. We had a lot in common and a lot of the same outlooks. I could not wait to meet him in person.

Three observations. First, no woman who weighs more than 200 pounds can ever be described as hot, let alone HOT! This is science. Second, if women truly wish for men to stop behaving like pigs, it would be wise to stop providing positive incentive for men to behave like pigs. As long as women have sex with men who are pigs and turn down the boring nice guys, guess what? Some men who aren’t completely clueless may actually notice this and behave accordingly on the off chance they happen to be interested in having sex at some point in the future. Third, if you do something spectacularly dumb, DON’T COMPLAIN ABOUT IT ON THE INTERNET.

The problem with bad models

Paul Krugman unwittingly explicates it for our edification:

Given sufficient demand for its output, America would produce more than $30 trillion worth of goods and services over the next two years. But with both consumer spending and business investment plunging, a huge gap is opening up between what the American economy can produce and what it’s able to sell….

Even the C.B.O. says, however, that “economic output over the next two years will average 6.8 percent below its potential.” This translates into $2.1 trillion of lost production. “Our economy could fall $1 trillion short of its full capacity,” declared Mr. Obama on Thursday. Well, he was actually understating things. To close a gap of more than $2 trillion — possibly a lot more, if the budget office projections turn out to be too optimistic — Mr. Obama offers a $775 billion plan. And that’s not enough.

Now, keep in mind that the economic growth estimates which go into these calculations AVERAGE a revision of more than 100 percent from one quarter to the next. Even if one assumes the variances are not stackable, this still means a probably variance from the CBO estimate of at least $4.4 trillion, probably on the down side based on the track record of past estimates. Yet this enormous variance which renders the calculation useless doesn’t slow down Keynesian true believers like Krugman, or prevent them from making very specific policy recommendations that wholly depend upon the accuracy of these estimates. When the measures fail, as there is a very high probability that they will, Krugman will no doubt lament that it was too little, too late rather than reject his worthless economic model.

And, of course, the chattering class will throw up their hands and declare that no one could possibly have known that these expert-concocted plans weren’t going to work.